Wednesday, May 12, 2010

PA-Sen Primary: Sestak Surge Questionable

Pennsylvania (Democratic Primary)

Arlen Specter (D-inc) 45%
Joe Sestak 41%
Undecided 14%

Specter +4%

Race News:
Despite a good last few days of polling for Democratic primary challenger Joe Sestak, Arlen Specter seems to be consolidating his base just fine. With all the recent polling, some polls showing Sestak ahead, we're still seeing a fairly stable 4 percent lead for Specter with Sestak's numbers essentially unmoved from Sunday. We will take one more look at the race but we're still giving a slight advantage for Specter at this point.

The primary election is in six days, May 18.

*All calculations are made from our in-house metric, which accurately predicted outcomes in all recent elections (NJ-Gov, VA-Gov, MA-Sen, TX-Gov Primary)


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