Tuesday, May 11, 2010

IL-Sen: Kirk Moves To The Lead


Mark Kirk (R) 42%
Alexi Giannoulias (D) 38%
Undecided 20%

Kirk +4%

Race News:
The Broadway Bank scandal has taken its toll on Democrat Alexi Giannoulias's credibility. As news of this scandal blankets the media, Giannoulias's numbers have subsequently dropped. Kirk is not letting this crisis go to waste as he reminds voters about Giannoulias's mismanagement of finances in his latest campaign ads.

Despite the overwhelming Democratic advantage in Illinois, it has become apparent that Kirk is the frontrunner. Cook has changed his rating from Toss-up to Lean Republican. We believe the current polls are understating Kirk's support, but he will definitely have an advantage with undecideds come election day and we will see his 4% lead grow.

*All calculations are made from our in-house metric, which accurately predicted outcomes in all recent elections (NJ-Gov, VA-Gov, MA-Sen, TX-Gov Primary)



TX Longhorn said...

The question is: How soon until Alexi G gets "Torricelli-ed" (replaced on ballot by Dems when it's obvious he can't win)?

Kurt said...

That would look really bad. Let's just make sure Giannoulias doesn't completely implode. So far, he's holding up despite the scandal.