Tuesday, May 18, 2010

HI-01: Djou Leads By Double Digits

HI-01 (Special Election)

Charles Djou (R) 37%
Ed Case (D) 27%
Colleen Hanabusa 24%
Undecided 12%

Djou +10%

Race News:
The DNC pulls out of the Hawaii's first district race, signaling a momentum by Djou. In our current analysis, he increases his lead over Ed Case by double digits. Among those who have voted, according to the latest Merriman River Group poll, Djou garners 45% support.

After we allocate our undecided voters, we find a very similar model to the early voting patterns:

Charles Djou (R) 46%
Ed Case (D) 29%
Colleen Hanabusa 26%

Djou +17%

The special election is happening now via mail and ballots will be accepted for another five days, till May 22 at 6 PM. Voting centers are open from May 10 to May 21, but will be closed on May 22.

*All calculations are made from our in-house metric, which accurately predicted outcomes in all recent elections (NJ-Gov, VA-Gov, MA-Sen, TX-Gov Primary)

No comments: