Kentucky Senate (Republican Primary)
Rand Paul 51%
Trey Grayson 32%
Kentucky Senate (Democratic Primary)
Daniel Mongiardo 38%
Jack Conway 34%
There are 17% Undecided Likely Voters. After allocating our undecided voters, we get:
Rand Paul 61%
Trey Greyson 39%
Minds are made up in the Republican primary. Rand Paul is over 50% with a clear majority on his side.
The Democrats, on the other hand, remain largely undecided. We will not make any allocations on the undecideds but instead give a slight edge to Mongiardo.
The primary election is tomorrow, May 18.
*All calculations are made from our in-house metric, which accurately predicted outcomes in all recent elections (NJ-Gov, VA-Gov, MA-Sen, TX-Gov Primary)