Monday, May 17, 2010

KY-Sen Primary: Paul has Majority, Mongarido with Slight Lead

Kentucky Senate (Republican Primary)

Rand Paul 51%
Trey Grayson 32%
Undecided 17%

Paul +19%

Kentucky Senate (Democratic Primary)

Daniel Mongiardo 38%
Jack Conway 34%
Undecided/Other 28%

Mongiardo +4%

Race News:

There are 17% Undecided Likely Voters. After allocating our undecided voters, we get:

Rand Paul 61%
Trey Greyson 39%

Paul +22

Minds are made up in the Republican primary. Rand Paul is over 50% with a clear majority on his side.

The Democrats, on the other hand, remain largely undecided. We will not make any allocations on the undecideds but instead give a slight edge to Mongiardo.

The primary election is tomorrow, May 18.

*All calculations are made from our in-house metric, which accurately predicted outcomes in all recent elections (NJ-Gov, VA-Gov, MA-Sen, TX-Gov Primary)


No comments: