2010 Senate Ratings Change: WA Moves To GOP, OH Likely GOP

Our first update puts the GOP in a stronger position. Rasmussen joins Survey USA in predicting a narrow win for Dino Rossi in Washington state. Further polling in specific Congressional districts with Republicans in a great position have allowed us to move Washington to Lean GOP.

Latest polling showing high single digit leads for Ohio GOP Senate candidate Rob Portman, as well as support over 50 percent, have allowed us to move Ohio from Lean GOP to Likely GOP. His fundraising advantage, with millions more than Democrat Lee Fisher, and the nature of the electorate and wave this year, make it an easy call. The Democrats are defending too many seats and Ohio is not likely to see the funding Fisher needs to stay competitive.

Current Projections (September 4, 2010):

GOP: 49

No Race: 23

Safe: 13

Likely: 5

Lean: 8

Dem: 48

No Race: 40

Safe: 5

Likely: 2

Lean: 1

Toss-Ups: 3

SAFE DEM HI (Inouye) MD (Mikulski) NY (Schumer) OR (Wyden) VT (Leahy)

LIKELY DEM NY (Gilibrand) WV ' (Open)

LEAN DEM CT (Open)

TOSS UP CA (Boxer) NV (Reid) WI (Feingold)

LEAN GOP CO (Bennett) DE (Open) FL (Open) IL (Open) KY (Open) NH (Open) PA (Open) WA (Murray)

LIKELY GOP IN (Open) LA (Vitter) MO (Open) NC (Burr) OH (Open)

SAFE GOP AL (Shelby) AK (Open) AZ (McCain) AR (Lincoln) GA (Isakson) ID (Crapo) IA (Grassley) KS (Open) ND (Open) OK (Coburn) SC (DeMint) SD (Thune) UT (Open)