2010 Senate Ratings

These are our first ratings for the cycle. Some primaries are still outstanding but the dynamics of certain races are set. Of course, 2 months is an eternity in politics. We will be busy the next 2 months updating these ratings based on debates, campaign momentum, etc.

The Democrats start out playing defense on a lot of seats in blue states.

Current Projections (August 25, 2010):

GOP: 48

No Race: 23

Safe: 13

Likely: 4

Lean: 8

Dem: 48

No Race: 40

Safe: 5

Likely: 2

Lean: 1

Toss-Ups: 4

SAFE DEM (5) HI (Inouye) MD (Mikulski) NY (Schumer) OR (Wyden) VT (Leahy)

LIKELY DEM (2) NY (Gilibrand) WV ' (Open)

LEAN DEM (1) CT (Open)

TOSS UP (4) CA (Boxer) NV (Reid) WA (Murray) WI (Feingold)

LEAN GOP (8) CO (Bennett) DE (Open) FL (Open) IL (Open) KY (Open) NH (Open) OH (Open) PA (Open)

LIKELY GOP (4) IN (Open) LA (Vitter) MO (Open) NC (Burr)

SAFE GOP (13) AL (Shelby) AK (Open) AZ (McCain) AR (Lincoln) GA (Isakson) ID (Crapo) IA (Grassley) KS (Open) ND (Open) OK (Coburn) SC (DeMint) SD (Thune) UT (Open)